Every Delaware Student Needs an AVD Card!
Dr Rima Replies
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This bill [passed by the Delawre Senate April 18, 2016], like every other vaccine mandate, is wrong headed and dangerous. It originated as a “One Dose Meningococcal Meningitis Vaccination Program”
First, consider the cost-effectiveness of the original “one dose” meningococcal meningitis vaccination program for children ages 11- or 12- years old, or 13 to 18 years of age if they missed the vaccination at age 11 or 12, and a second dose to college freshman living in dormitories, with the understanding that the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices now recommends a second dose to all children at age 16 because the claimed but unsubstantiated 10-year protection interval used to get the vaccines approved has been found to be overly optimistic. An equally unsubstantiated 5-year period of protection is now being claimed.
Calculations are based on:
a. Cost per dose, at least $150
b. Minimum number in population segment requiring vaccination, at least 4,000,000 per year since approval granted January 2004
c. Maximum effectiveness estimated at 85% (unsubstantiated) by manufacturers for the recommended vaccines
d. Average maximum disease 0.67 strain-prevalence fraction for the covered strains, means that with a 100% coverage rate, the mass vaccination program would
a. Prevent less than 57% of the disease cases seen annually in the US
b. Would have an average cost in excess of $600,000,000 per year
c. Ignore the second shot costs for college students.
The cost for the United States mass meningococcal program significantly exceeds $1 Billion US.
Before Menactra was approved in 2004 and added to the vaccination schedule, there were 1,360 cases of meningococcal meningitis. By 2008 with 41.8% of the children between 13 and 18 vaccinated, there were 1170 cases, or a maximum 0f 190 cases less at an apparent cost of about $1.4M illionn US per prevented case.
Generous estimates suggest that since approximately 10% of diagnosed cases die, the cost per each of the 19 “prevented deaths” would be about $14 Million US.
However since by 2010 CDC only claimed about 9 lives saved through this program, the cost per saved life was about $30 Million US.
Interestingly, however, the while the press rallies around mass vaccinations and vast numbers of children and young adults are inoculated with the meningococcal meningitis vaccine, the reported cases have continued to decline dramatically in both the vaccinated and the unvaccinated so that by 2010, the number of cases was at its lowest point in 67 years.
It is clear, even before any other associated costs are considered, although they must be, that there is no justification on the basis of either massive public health impact or economic cost effectiveness for this massive vaccination campaign.
But any meaningful calculation of the real costs of a public health program must also include the costs of adverse consequences of the program, both in human and in financial terms.
The US Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System, VAERS47, is a voluntary reporting option which is widely believed to capture between 1 and 10% of the relevant episodes of short term vaccine-related adverse events.
Using the most conservative figures, we will multiply the VAERS data by 10 assuming an exceedingly generous 10% capture instead of the more realistic 1-2% capture rate.
From January 2005 through 2010, about 7,095 adverse events for children in the age range in which vaccines for N. meningitides were part of the ACIP schedule. These VAERS reports included:
20 deaths reported in VAERS
98 life-threatening adverse events
49 cases of permanent disability
3007 hospitalizations
19 extended hospitalizations
2,412 emergency-room visits
According to Dr. Paul G. King, “On this basis, to save less than 130 N. meningitides infections and the CDC’s about “9” deaths annually, the current ‘one dose’ vaccination program at an uptake level of about 70 % probably annually causes in excess of 66 deaths, 161 permanent disabilities, 312 life threatening events, 1,006 hospitalizations, 63 extended hospitalizations and 7,900 emergency room visits”
Whether considering the enormous public health burden, the human burden or the staggering economic burden, it is clear that this program is neither justified nor supportable except to those whose commercial interests are at stake.
I submit to you that his preventable tragedy was brought about through the financial and personal emoluments blandished on regulators and other influential decision-makers leading clinical decision-making to follow the bidding of the highest bidders with public health sacrificed to private gain.
Further, it is clear that every person who wishes to refrain from vaccination has the legally protected right to do so when they assert their right of Informed Consent. Find out more here: www.DrRimaTruthReports.com/AdvanceVaccineDirective.
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References available http://TinyURL.com/DrRimaIndiaPaper
Article to which replied: http://www.wmdt.com/news/more-local-news/bill-mandates-meningococcal-vaccines-for-college-students-in-delaware/39109334
